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Wednesday, November 7th, 2007 08:32 pm (UTC)
I don't think anybody knows anything about money six years out.

There are analysts who think that America and Europe are doing the same sort of wrong things with a few years of separation between them, that doom has come due for America this year and will come for Europe in a couple of years, so now isn't far from as bad as it gets, but this is by no means universal.

On 1 January 2007, one dollar would buy you (http://www.oanda.com) 116 Canadian cents or 20.91 CZK.

On 7 November 2007, one dollar buys you 93 Canadian cents or 18.54 CZK. On 7 July 2007, five months ago, one dollar bought you 105 Canadian cents or 21.04 CZK; so 300,000CZK has never as little as $12000 this year. The least it's been this year is $13725, on 28 January; the most it's been is $16179, today. The last time it was $12000 was 10th November 2005.

[this is assuming that you can convert money without paying a premium; you're being charged about 1% for converting the money into CZKs, but I suspect you'd have been charged the same whatever the exchange rate]

The Czech Republic is not immune to the kind of trouble hitting America, though, since it doesn't host very many very large financial institutions, it's immune to the first-order effects of purely financial panic.

It has the same class of house-price trouble, though to a lesser extent; it's an EU member, which means that people from the EU can buy property there, and there's a certain kind of rich British person who believes that the intrinsic value of a house is at least $200,000 and therefore that he should devote most of his spare money to buying houses in Prague when the Czechs are selling them for $50,000; this means it's pretty hard for an average Czech to buy a house in Prague.

It has mining and manufacturing; being a former-communist country, it has salaries for doctors which are extremely low by American standards and not high by local standards - 'doctor' is a prestigious but poorly-paid public-service job, like 'teacher'.

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